Proofline
VERIFIED RECORD REGISTRY · PUBLIC

Records, not screenshots.

Verified records sit alongside imported strategy projects. Losing, interrupted and refused records are published like any other. An imported strategy is not a verified record. Its case file shows what was found and what must happen before verification.

11 RECORDS · 6 VERIFIED · 40 IMPORTED
SEALED RECORDS · NOT A LIVE FEED
NEGATIVE
FEATURED · LIVE TEST RECORD
8-hour live paper test
Execution held up. The edge did not.
11 OF 11 CHECKED2 PARTIAL FILLSFEES $1.87REPLAY BYTE-IDENTICAL
LIVE TEST RECORD
8 HOURS · 33 WINDOWS
Open case file →
NEGATIVE
30-day replay on recorded market dataVERIFIED · ADAPTED
Execution held up under depth verification: the honest result stands. The signal, not the execution, produced the loss.
HISTORICAL REPLAY
5 → 0
Same strategy, two ways of counting fillsEVIDENCE RECORD
Same spec. Same data. Only the honesty of the fill model changed, and the P&L disappeared. Proofline discloses the assumption instead of hiding it.
FILL-MODEL COMPARISON
NEGATIVE
8-hour live paper testVERIFIED · ADAPTED
Execution held up. The edge did not.
LIVE TEST RECORD
PARTIAL
Interrupted live test, recoveredVERIFIED · ADAPTED
The interruption left one final result recorded but not yet counted. Replaying the capture applied it and matched every live trade exactly; the torn edge is disclosed, not smoothed over.
RECOVERED LIVE TEST
93 / 93
Is the simulator honest? Checked against real tradesEVIDENCE RECORD
Without a depth/freshness check, taker-at-ask filled 81.7% on Polymarket and 69.2% on Kalshi, even with a 2-cent aggressive offset. With depth and freshness verified: 100.0%. The depth-aware fill model's core design is what real execution demands.
SIMULATOR CALIBRATION
0 GUESSES
A clearly-written strategy, turned into exact rulesIMPORTED
A precise source compiles the same way every time. The guess count (zero here) is the honesty metric.
RULES EXTRACTION
4 GUESSES
A vague strategy: every guess countedIMPORTED
Compiled with 4 disclosed defaults. Each one is a decision the source didn't make.
RULES EXTRACTION
REFUSED
Refused: the trading rules are hiddenREFUSED
Refusal is a result, not an error. A verification system that cannot say "nothing verifiable here" cannot be trusted when it says anything else.
REFUSAL RECORD
BREAKEVEN
A legacy bot's rules, run through Proofline for the first timeVERIFIED · ADAPTED
Verified and reproducible — a fee-dominated breakeven. The fills were real; the strategy's gross edge was almost entirely the fee.
HISTORICAL REPLAY
NEGATIVE
The same legacy bot, both sides at onceVERIFIED · ADAPTED
Two-sided and reproducible: both legs filled against real depth and settled independently, and the strategy still lost. The engine models both sides faithfully; the loss is the strategy's.
HISTORICAL REPLAY
NEGATIVE
A timing-based bot: buy the favorite 9 minutes inVERIFIED · ADAPTED
Window-relative and reproducible: every entry landed inside the intended 9-minute gate and every window had a recorded opening reference, and the strategy still lost. The engine models the timing and the movement faithfully; the loss is the strategy's.
HISTORICAL REPLAY
Tested (evidence partial)
ARB-085 — BTC 15m cross-venue arbitrageHISTORICAL BOT PROTOTYPE
Real trades — result not independently verified
ARBITRAGE (CROSS-VENUE)
Tested (evidence partial)
ARB-ETH — ETH 15m cross-venue arbitrageHISTORICAL BOT PROTOTYPE
Real trades — result not independently verified
ARBITRAGE (CROSS-VENUE)
Imported
ARB-SOL — SOL 15m cross-venue arbitrageHISTORICAL BOT PROTOTYPE
Briefly live — minimal history
ARBITRAGE (CROSS-VENUE)
Imported
7-coin arbitrage paper fleet (REST + WebSocket A/B)HISTORICAL BOT PROTOTYPE
Paper-simulated — phantom-fill assumptions
ARBITRAGE (CROSS-VENUE)
Incomplete
ARB-025/035/045 — archived paper threshold ladderHISTORICAL BOT PROTOTYPE
Archived — configs + balances only
ARBITRAGE (CROSS-VENUE)
Imported
EMA-C2 momentum — BTC 5m directionalHISTORICAL BOT PROTOTYPE
Traded live — claims from notes only
MOMENTUM (DIRECTIONAL)
Imported
C3-Close Low-Entry — 6-gate breakout (the namesake)HISTORICAL BOT PROTOTYPE
Traded live — claims from notes only
MOMENTUM (BREAKOUT)
Ready to test
EMA-C2 variants — Smart-C2, Strict, C2-NoEMA ablationHISTORICAL BOT PROTOTYPE
Rules defined — mixed test evidence
MOMENTUM (DIRECTIONAL)
Imported
15m Displacement — 5-variant threshold fleetHISTORICAL BOT PROTOTYPE
Traded live — expectations only, no result
MOMENTUM (BREAKOUT)
Ready to test
5m Confluence / High-Conviction — scored-signal botsHISTORICAL BOT PROTOTYPE
Paper only — no result recorded
MOMENTUM (SCORED)
Tested (evidence partial)
Combined v4 — signal-N trade-N+1 decision treeHISTORICAL BOT PROTOTYPE
Has a claimed live record — unverified
MEAN-REVERSION / REGIME
Imported
Liquidation Sweep Fade — order-flow reversionHISTORICAL BOT PROTOTYPE
Imported — no result on disk
MEAN-REVERSION (ORDER-FLOW)
Ready to test
PM 1h EMA directional — long-shot hourlyHISTORICAL BOT PROTOTYPE
Rules defined — no result on disk
TREND (DIRECTIONAL)
Ready to test
V6 Microstructure — paper scoring botHISTORICAL BOT PROTOTYPE
Paper only — 'tune after 100+ trades'
ORDER-FLOW (MICROSTRUCTURE)
Incomplete
Original EMA 5m lineage (archived)HISTORICAL BOT PROTOTYPE
Superseded — historical origin
MOMENTUM (DIRECTIONAL)
Imported
PolyPrinter — BTC 5m signal serviceIMPORTED LOCAL STRATEGY (ONEDRIVE PROJECT)
Commercial claims — unverified
MOMENTUM (SIGNAL PRODUCT)
Incomplete
PolyPrinter order-flow monitors A/BIMPORTED LOCAL STRATEGY (ONEDRIVE PROJECT)
Plumbing built — no results collected
ORDER-FLOW (MICROSTRUCTURE)
Ready to test
ASCENT close-bot — Kalshi 15m EMA-favoriteLEGACY STRATEGY PROJECT (ASCENT ESTATE)
Backtest-only, self-labeled unconfirmed
MOMENTUM (FAVORITE)
Tested (evidence partial)
ASCENT cross-venue mean-reversion cohorts (c3-c8)LEGACY STRATEGY PROJECT (ASCENT ESTATE)
Paper — heavily analyzed, honestly re-marked
MEAN-REVERSION (CROSS-VENUE)
Tested (evidence partial)
meanrev_live — LIVE c8 cross-venue executorHISTORICAL BOT PROTOTYPE
Real live trades — tiny validation size
MEAN-REVERSION (CROSS-VENUE)
Tested (evidence partial)
fill_probe — real Kalshi maker-fill calibrationHISTORICAL BOT PROTOTYPE
Real probes — round-trip P&L not recorded
CALIBRATION
Imported
Fade-Polymarket cross-venue signal traderLEGACY STRATEGY PROJECT (ASCENT ESTATE)
Invalidated first pass, thin re-validation
MEAN-REVERSION (CROSS-VENUE)
Ready to test
TOM executor — turn-of-month equity overlayLEGACY STRATEGY PROJECT (ASCENT ESTATE)
Backtest Sharpe — paper validation not started
SEASONAL (CALENDAR)
Unsupported
CTA diversified 12m time-series momentumLEGACY RESEARCH STRATEGY
Backtest survivor — not Proofline-verifiable
TREND (MULTI-ASSET)
Unsupported
RSI(2) reversal books (ETF + single-name) & pairsLEGACY RESEARCH STRATEGY
Real but disguised beta — dead as alpha
MEAN-REVERSION (EQUITIES)
Unsupported
Equity factor sweep — XS-mom, carry, seasonality, VRPLEGACY RESEARCH STRATEGY
Mostly dead — beta or multiple-testing artifacts
FACTOR (MULTI-ASSET)
Unsupported
Delta-neutral perp funding carry (BTC/ETH)LEGACY RESEARCH STRATEGY
Structural survivor — crowded, compressing
CARRY (CRYPTO PERPS)
Unsupported
Crypto lead-lag & intraday pairs (BTC/ETH/ES)LEGACY RESEARCH STRATEGY
Statistically real, economically dead
ORDER-FLOW / PAIRS (CRYPTO)
Unsupported
Intraday futures momentum (MIM / ORB) — MES/ESLEGACY RESEARCH STRATEGY
Dead — pre-registered falsification
MOMENTUM (INTRADAY FUTURES)
Tested (evidence partial)
PM 5m post-run mean-reversion fade (maker_test)HISTORICAL BOT PROTOTYPE
NO-GO at n=288 — adverse selection
MEAN-REVERSION (ORDER-FLOW)
Unsupported
Polymarket crypto market-making ('be the house')LEGACY RESEARCH STRATEGY
NO-GO — toxic one-sided fills
MARKET-MAKING
Tested (evidence partial)
PolyPrinter order-flow replay (A/B backtest)LEGACY RESEARCH STRATEGY
No proprietary edge over the free base rate
ORDER-FLOW (MICROSTRUCTURE)
Imported
Limitless × Polymarket same-oracle convergenceHISTORICAL BOT PROTOTYPE
Trickle that can't scale
ARBITRAGE (CROSS-VENUE, SAME ORACLE)
Unsupported
Kalshi ladder / dutch-book arbitrage (crypto + non-crypto)LEGACY RESEARCH STRATEGY
Dead — violations too rare/thin
ARBITRAGE (STRUCTURAL, SINGLE-VENUE)
Unsupported
Cross-venue single-name lock (MLB, non-crypto pairs)LEGACY RESEARCH STRATEGY
Dead — price alignment is binding, not fees
ARBITRAGE (CROSS-VENUE)
Ready to test
G3-X3 sizing / strand / gate research (cohort backbone)LEGACY RESEARCH STRATEGY
Produced the live cohort designs
MEAN-REVERSION (CROSS-VENUE)
Ready to test
Cross-venue settlement divergence model + re-markLEGACY RESEARCH STRATEGY
The toll every cross-venue strategy is charged
CALIBRATION
Ready to test
Kalshi 15m EMA-favorite edge (research → ASCENT)HISTORICAL BOT PROTOTYPE
Fed the ASCENT close-bot
MOMENTUM (FAVORITE)
Tested (evidence partial)
PM 5m both-sides scalp (first estate verification)IMPORTED LOCAL STRATEGY (ONEDRIVE PROJECT)
Up-leg verified — fee-dominated breakeven (+$0.32 net)
MEAN-REVERSION (SCALP)
Refused
Polymarket Whale Scanner (alert tool)IMPORTED LOCAL STRATEGY (ONEDRIVE PROJECT)
Not a strategy — signal/alert tool
ORDER-FLOW (ALERTING)
VERIFIED RECORDS CARRY OUTCOMES COPIED VERBATIM FROM ENGINE ARTIFACTS. IMPORTED STRATEGIES ARE NOT VERIFIED RECORDS. THEY SHOW WHAT WAS FOUND AND WHAT MUST HAPPEN BEFORE VERIFICATION, NEVER A FABRICATED PERFORMANCE NUMBER.
WHERE THESE NUMBERS COME FROM

Every number below is copied verbatim from a Proofline engine artifact in this repository. Nothing is derived, estimated, or invented. Each card lists its artifact paths. See docs/product/VERIFIED_FACTS.md.

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